Hello,
actually should all yearn for temperatures above 10 degrees, coming in the next week at their expense. The weather situation has arisen in several steps by right-wing. It maybe all those get your money, who want more variety at the same time weather process. But first things first.
hardly noticeable crossed in the night a cold front of the Alps. Behind her runs over all in the deeper layers of the atmosphere fairly dry cold polar air. The cold front has already flooded large parts of the northern basin and the Balkans is on the point, the Bora, especially on the coast of Slovenia, Croatian Primorje and northern Dalmatia, to fuel strong. Again, you have to come mainly from Senj and Makarska with gusts beyond 130 km / h deal:
to winning this miserable cold front but not able. From the West moves on Monday quickly Hoch, currently with its center over southern England, in, the wind dies down at night, on Tuesday, and so it will on Tuesday be broadcasting its crisp and fresh in the morning:
The following days are dedicated to a fairly continuous heating .. The Atlantic starts to bubble busy .. the amount of flow over central Europe turned to the middle of the week more and more to West, from in front of the advancing front northwest it is in places slightly föhnig, so on Wednesday the 10 degree mark is hit in the föhnigen regions between Bregenzerwald and Mostviertel ...
... on Thursday and then in the East. After that, the ghosts a bit in terms of the degree of additional warming. Agree to GFS and ECMWF are to the effect that the long waves generally move further west. In the ECMWF but clearer and faster than in the GFS. This has consequences for the forecast direction weekend. Both types share a further reverse rotation of the flow regime against South West and South. In the ECMWF, the tax-end depth develops as far west that the Alpine region during the weekend in a broad stream of warm air from the south with additional distinctive hair dryer comes:
One interpretation of this card, which assumes that we see the unvarnished truth, can also maximum values in the Föhnstrichen close of 20 degrees.
The JRC is all a bit further east, beyond the low center of pressure in the Mediterranean clearly present, so that would be called a cyclonic south-west to south needs to speak. Which is even mild, but it is provided with significantly more moisture than the ECMWF version:
Here, one would expect from highs of 15 degrees, also by onset of storage precipitation in the Southern Alps, as well as the other predictive maps of the GFS in cyclonic south by a spillover of the rain on the the Alps go.
I would prefer the ECMWF version, in the sense of nature would be a variant concerns with more precipitation but probably more reasonable to the sometimes dry January and February and the lack of snow melt water in order to feed into the thawing ground.
Look ma time ..
I had today at last Weather lucky, after a week without sun, cold southerly wind and sea Stratus finally has the wind in Victoria turned to the northeast, it was partly cloudy and 28 degree temperature just right for a bike ride gscheit (62km..). I designed their conclusion in the Docklands with a Flascherl * * Little Creatures, the best beer of the continent ... Here 2 pictures of the late summer mood in the Docklands area of Melbourne ...
nice Sunday!
Lg
Manfred
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