Artistic Model Male & Model Female

Frontenwirrwar leads to heating

Hello,

for today's post I've even considered in detail what happened on the synoptic map so all we can to the end of the week for spring lovers are confronted with acceptable temperature values everywhere in Austria .... The basis of any such consideration is reasonable to apply the most recent Background:

You can see the duplicated Polar Front Zone of the northern Atlantic Ocean and the ancient cyclones off the Iberian peninsula, which is now live for more than 7 days at . And will continue to weather and Career an important role, as we shall see ..... Between the fronts unds is strong, so to speak, but migrating to the East High.

Until tomorrow ...

'm just starting to do even more ... North of Scotland is a low, which has developed magnificently in the final hours and his front systems again Scandinavia gene controls. Another young cyclones developing rapidly east of Labrador. At the ancient cyclones from Portugal, is a first offset erin active air mass limit for lying about Europe only moderately high-energy air from .... On the front, such as the Sahara of Libya air passes gradually to the north .. gaanz slowly.

Another 48 hours later ...

has now reached the Labrador cyclones as intense low-Scotland. Between the old system, Scandinavia and the Portuguese, the other inactive air mass limit has hardly stirred from the spot, but something worse. The Air Sahara is a little further ahead to the north, even a separate low forms over desert ...

later than 24 hours ...

a very similar picture. Figuratively speaking, one has the impression, that is, whether the age-old Iberierin expresses the position of the Atlantic fronts further north and therefore the outbreak of cold air in the North Atlantic definitely present, is suppressed to Central Europe.

a situation that would describe again on Saturday so ... the cold air mass will remain in the north, the shovels now Exiberierin slowly but persistently, the Mediterranean air in the Alps ... on Algeria at the local dive LMG now a number of small lows ...

.. one of which is developed into a great Sunday. The whole block, triggered by the old Exiberierin leads to an outbreak of cold air over the eastern Atlantic, in the Penelbewegegung turns the flow in the Alpine region now .. purely on South

a situation that does not change in the GFS to Monday .. Cold air outbreak over the eastern Atlantic, wave formation induced by the remains of Iberierin prevent over Western Europe the advance of cold air from the west, the Alps remains Südregime ... how long .. that no one really knows ...

Summary: Even a low-end of his life can the fortunes on the weather map to influence the long term. Portugal was there before now no depth, you could write off the springtime period for the weekend probably relish.

Lg

Manfred

Cutting Hair And Spa Games

Springlike fits

Hello,

actually should all yearn for temperatures above 10 degrees, coming in the next week at their expense. The weather situation has arisen in several steps by right-wing. It maybe all those get your money, who want more variety at the same time weather process. But first things first.

hardly noticeable crossed in the night a cold front of the Alps. Behind her runs over all in the deeper layers of the atmosphere fairly dry cold polar air. The cold front has already flooded large parts of the northern basin and the Balkans is on the point, the Bora, especially on the coast of Slovenia, Croatian Primorje and northern Dalmatia, to fuel strong. Again, you have to come mainly from Senj and Makarska with gusts beyond 130 km / h deal:

to winning this miserable cold front but not able. From the West moves on Monday quickly Hoch, currently with its center over southern England, in, the wind dies down at night, on Tuesday, and so it will on Tuesday be broadcasting its crisp and fresh in the morning:

The following days are dedicated to a fairly continuous heating .. The Atlantic starts to bubble busy .. the amount of flow over central Europe turned to the middle of the week more and more to West, from in front of the advancing front northwest it is in places slightly föhnig, so on Wednesday the 10 degree mark is hit in the föhnigen regions between Bregenzerwald and Mostviertel ...

... on Thursday and then in the East. After that, the ghosts a bit in terms of the degree of additional warming. Agree to GFS and ECMWF are to the effect that the long waves generally move further west. In the ECMWF but clearer and faster than in the GFS. This has consequences for the forecast direction weekend. Both types share a further reverse rotation of the flow regime against South West and South. In the ECMWF, the tax-end depth develops as far west that the Alpine region during the weekend in a broad stream of warm air from the south with additional distinctive hair dryer comes:

One interpretation of this card, which assumes that we see the unvarnished truth, can also maximum values in the Föhnstrichen close of 20 degrees.

The JRC is all a bit further east, beyond the low center of pressure in the Mediterranean clearly present, so that would be called a cyclonic south-west to south needs to speak. Which is even mild, but it is provided with significantly more moisture than the ECMWF version:

Here, one would expect from highs of 15 degrees, also by onset of storage precipitation in the Southern Alps, as well as the other predictive maps of the GFS in cyclonic south by a spillover of the rain on the the Alps go.

I would prefer the ECMWF version, in the sense of nature would be a variant concerns with more precipitation but probably more reasonable to the sometimes dry January and February and the lack of snow melt water in order to feed into the thawing ground.

Look ma time ..

I had today at last Weather lucky, after a week without sun, cold southerly wind and sea Stratus finally has the wind in Victoria turned to the northeast, it was partly cloudy and 28 degree temperature just right for a bike ride gscheit (62km..). I designed their conclusion in the Docklands with a Flascherl * * Little Creatures, the best beer of the continent ... Here 2 pictures of the late summer mood in the Docklands area of Melbourne ...

nice Sunday!

Lg

Manfred

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Spring fever next week?

Hello,

at the moment would be the title perhaps dismissed as insane or a product of senility .. because it is under a strong high over the Alps in particular the Nightly still quite fresh, as a glance at the current temperature:

This is understandable, because is still the radiation balance is slightly negative, and thus it can radiate in such a huge high or good:

The satellite image shows the high nuclear-to Germany, the other a big old cold body of air over the central and western Mediterranean, and the Polar Front from the Middle Atlantic to Scotland to Scandinavia reaching. Dynamic Remedy, who is not high pressure, is in sight.

buildings such as the warmluftvortoss recently addressed by the warm front near Greenland marked a wedge over the Middle Atlantic, on, at the wedge front side, we control the long cold front of Scotland towards the Alps ...

... and us in accordance with a quiet Saturday night to Sunday with decent cooling in height. Since we are but are on the edge of the anticyclonic trough Cassis de Dijon proposal to hold the rainfall is very limited, although it would be enough on Sunday and Monday in theory for snow down to the plains. The trough moves then from and entirely from ...

and then what happens is a little on the edge ... According to ECMWF the intense low on Tuesday visible in Iceland only a change leads to unsettled westerly weather with temperatures significantly positive in the lower elevations on Thursday a ...

.. to the flow subsequently further to allow reverse rotation, since the long waves move further west ... with the welcome possibility that for the first time would take a long time south wind .. and the temperatures could be 15 degrees and move more.

.. destroy the dream again: GFS will not hear of it, the waves remain stationary, the changeable weather continued West. But even that would not be freezing cold ...

Now .. to get away from the concrete model fields interpretation It really is the long-wave behavior that decide whether we can take the first noticeable step in the spring, as decided by the long waves on the position of the trough and wedge thrusts, and their position in turn is responsible for whether hot air from the southwest or Cold air from the northwest, the regime characterized.

Let's put it this way: It is not completely unlikely that we will meet in the next 10 will experience a deuliche warming.

Lg

Manfred

Average Cost For Caterer

What a fine specimen of a Shapiro-Keyser cyclones

Hello,

today only a short picture posting, to more I'm not physically capable of ... Sleep .. Sleep .. Sleep-like and end the cruel sore throat finally (smoking is real net gsund ..). Enough of the whining, there are things that delight the eye ... today it is this fine specimen of a Shapiro-Keyser cyclones from Scandinavia ..

.. good night!

Manfred

Kates Playgroundskins.be

Soone Weedoag Soone, Leewe













Laj the dol, sed hee
Daut we aul lot Nomeddach
Laj the dol, Mejal
En spea Owe the tweschen ons
Sed en hee see
Did srasu, waut hee wull en
Wull digested non en
Wull digested but en
Led to dol
Bie Bie ahm
groote Leewe eare - aul haud
See generally vejete
Waut it daut en
Waut doa Aules wausse chew em en Hoat
Uck opp Aundre Steda
Wan see but
Aul eea soont jespeat haud
Soone Weedoag
Kaun een man non eenfach soo
Bestale
Soone Weedoag lote Aules
we Waut mol s mol waut tjemmt
Mank Loft en Lost veschwinje
Vebinje the opp emma
Mett the selwst
the Mett, waut of the tjemmt
Waut vele Joar lota the steit Ver en en
Schmustat
The onverhoffs aun eenem Mondach
speech lat lat
Hiele of eene Laust
Dee hardly en Woss en wada alternate
Veschwung - Laj
the dol, sed hee
Daut we aul lot Nomeddach
Laj the dol, Mejal
En spea Owe the tweschen ons

* * *

Large Cavity In Wisdom Tooth

Guttenberg - a mirror of society

After the baron has finally taken his hat, I will devote a few lines this topic.

Guttenberg is after the hit list of Mietmäuler in all media, the most popular politician in Germany. How is that possible?

are supposedly more than 70 percent against the use of the Bundeswehr in Afghanistan. Guttenberg supports this commitment not only, he even publicly called him a war. Under the Basic Law, has made to the baron of an oath, a war deployment of German soldiers is not generally allowed. For years, this failed with an overwhelming approval of the prescribed in Berlin against the constitution. Citizens are encouraged to follow the same basic law to rise up against it.

Based on experience in the Third Reich this request was written in the constitution, so to defend the people, when law enforcement officials to be law breakers.

Ex-President Köhler took his hat when he was attacked by the Greens because of his statements on the war. He had this war in Afghanistan said to be part of ensuring economic development of the EU and Germany. The Greens could not accept of course. They were there but who have to answer for the participation in this crime with.

When Guttenberg did the same thing, the Greens were silent. The leftists were talking from the fact that like in the Not the EU constitution would also. A treaty that was approved by the Constitutional Court of the Federal Republic. And so the judges on this court are clearly not on the floor of our Constitution.

The citizens of this republic are invited to the Basic Law to hunt these criminals from office.

The Basic Law provides one more reason to revolt. In this constitution, the German people is called upon to give itself a constitution, if the reunification is achieved. The constitution is no constitution and is therefore not so called. Constitutions must be approved by a referendum. The Gundgesetz adopted only parliamentarians. Nevertheless, all parties and MPs deny the German people even 65 years after World War II constitution.

will soon be called in Egypt, Tunisia and Libya the people to vote on a constitution. While Germany is still an occupied country with U.S. nuclear weapons and U.S. soldiers is.

Unbelievable but true!

The most popular German politicians are truly a remarkable tradition

Konrad Adenauer has made the U.S. nuclear weapons stationed Americans who only had a meaning. Atomic bombs in a radius of 30 km on German soil to explode.

Helmut Schmidt has had to station nuclear weapons the U.S. Americans could reach Moscow within minutes. And he added that Germany, in 1983 almost completely destroyed, as no Russian General would have been that prevented this.

And Guttenberg - a student with one of the worst marks his first state examination "masters". No Normalo would be the grade to receive a doctorate was granted. A minister who identifies his resume as work experience and internships the management of family assets as management of a medium sized company.

This man should transform the army into a professional army. Under the guise of military justice and cost savings. Of course, it is neither for justice still comes to saving. A mercenary army is needed if you want people to use as a killing machine. Who wants to look at the work of these killing machines, who needs only the killer helicopter from Baghdad on the net to look at.

demonstrates the current development in North Africa probably clear that a conscript army is necessary. You can prevent a people is shot to pieces. Safest one people, however, when, as in Switzerland is armed! The bear arms is one of the greatest achievements of the French Revolution. Unfortunately, this knowledge is just the so-called "intellectuals" and "social" has completely disappeared.

Directions To Uses Abreva

Short update on the short-and medium-term weather conditions ...

Good morning,

only from the fact that in the Alps did not happen (the weather) we conclude rarely a dull moment in other regions:

A weak low-honored just the Norwegians do not worry, tomorrow you get from an ordinary, it develops just above the Central Atlantic .. a toxic cyclones twists in via Italy, are embedded partly strong, convective rain prevailed. Since the low-withdrawing to the south, the wind shifts on the Adriatic Sea to the east to northeast increasingly until tomorrow reaches the Bora therefore on the Croatian Adriatic coast hurricane strength again:

.. only Austria remains an island of the blessed and is boring. During the day, the values are at least more pleasant:

DAS, ladies and gentlemen, will not change until the weekend, by the Downstream Development caught in our direction sent North Atlantic trough us in the course of Saturday from the North West ... Gfs in more than a harmless shock, in the new ECMWF but a direct hit, which would manifest themselves to freezing in the new week into it. It would be wise to accept from me that a few times will go back and forth (damper vs. Full Impact)

Trogvorstösse or no one noticed the most in the northern hemisphere maps. The green and blue tones in geopotential of the 500 he will face in the representation of wetterzentrale.de rare, the more yellow, and orange tones of intense ... which can generally conclude that day-long cold spells, even if the Kaltluftvorstösse are so massive (minus 15 in 850 hPa is still ..), they are increasingly less sustainable.

consolation I can do in 3 weeks when I come back to Austria, for the Summer here in Melbourne is a flop. Currently, the temperature in 850 was only slightly above 0 degrees, so it is in Munich (in height) is currently just warm ...

Lg

Manfred

Film Tom And Lola Streaming

Downstream Development and March "winter"?

Hello,

unspectacular and usual boggy in the winter passed today from the calendar meteorologists:

A large low pressure system over the central and western Mediterranean touches the West and Southwest at the periphery, the Atlantic holds back posh. The central depth west of Iceland controls with its core to the north, the warm advection on its front side is built on a strong high pressure wedge, which is mid-week from the Middle Atlantic to north-eastern Europe will cover:

looks at first glance from boring .. and it is. but maybe not so boring for the Synoptics ... use this situation can very well explain the so-called downstream Development conceptually, when the right constellation, this is a similar, can cause massive outbreaks Trough to central Europe.

let me analyze. Interestingly, the frontal zone from the east coast of Canada to Iceland right down to Norway and Sweden. It is East-West and has directed several short waves (troughs and wedges) to.

The first trough (which is in the picture above from Scandinavia fizzles, to Thursday in the Russian cold air sump:

... the frontal zone is on Thursday straight from Labrador through to Scandinavia In Canada. at the very left edge again good conditions result for cyclogenesis, recognizable by a flat surface low in the strong frontal zone ..)

24 hours later it had already well developed, transported to its Front hot air direction Iceland and bulges in the upper air flow to a powerful wedge. At the wedge front side, the flow turns through the bulge of west to northwest and ensures that the cold air is moving forward of the trough over Scandinavia to the south ... penetrate

and finally to Central (and Eastern Europe) would.

course, to JRC, it remains a grazing shot, the trough advance, caused by downstream development model caught in the Alps only in passing. Do the development of Equip 500 km further west, be We caught full. Has not yet been really close .. are but a few days time till then.

It is probably at a potential, but the configuration contains the mid-week, the risk / reward such polar cold air outbreaks in Central Europe to promote rather than hinder, expressed diplomatically.

And what is to be mentioned, this thing with the northern frontal zone over the Atlantic has a certain inclination conservation. Even if the first attack * * the weekend goes wrong, there is a not neglegierende probability that a few days, the next trough in a similar configuration on the North Atlantic more success.

Let's gaze ... looks more dynamic than the total of what we have seen over the last few weeks in the previous section.

Lg

Manfred

Hard To Cancel Bang Bros

What remains of the winter 2010/2011 in Austria?

Hello and good morning to the last Sunday of the meteorological winter 2010/2011.

stuff to climate budgets and looking back on the drawing to the end of winter, one might easily have been the last few days from the media. I may refer you to this point as to our * own * Looking back to read, among other things in the PRESS.

I want to look back on the blog make it a bit different and more large-scale characteristics of the light that led to that have what we have experienced the weather in the past 3 months, and, above all in the last 8 weeks experienced.

remember we all vividly that winter, when winter really mean by wintry weather, almost all his powder has already missed the first 3 weeks of December. This resulted in two weather conditions with high temporal stability, exemplified by those from 1.12 shown:

deep potential in the south and southwest of the Alps, high in the north led to recurrent sliding of hot-rolled - to cold air, the result was in regular amounts of snow, in particular in the southeast and east.

In the second third of December then another snowy variation ...

The deep potential had since shifted more to the east, high in the West. Snowfalls along the northern Alps and the east were the result, the snow cover reaches the plains with some more than 40cm its maximum ..

... in the last third of it went with the winter but essentially over:

The deep potential now lies in the west, from south eroded the mild air, the snow cover in large parts across the country within 24 hours. The following trough passage generous with snow falls, so the year but then again cold, but otherwise not particularly winter fades.

A bad omen for the constellations in the 4.5 weeks of January that followed .. the pressure over the Mediterranean rose sharply, and fell just as much of Scandinavia ... the West-heavy phase of the winter began ... example the situation at 1.6

.. interrupted only by the most exciting for me the weather of the winter on 13 or 14.1 ...

.... where a marked warm front fell from the northwest to the central parts of the northern Alps partly more than 100 inches of rain and have led to a part of the authorities played down the flood situation along the Danube and its northern tributaries .....

.... We stayed in the rest of January, mostly on the anticyclonic side of the frontal zone without much weather activity. This west facing position without the otherwise typical West storms is another, less glorious particularity.

Only once could we then speak later in the month of February, local West tower, as in the Vienna final amount of flow, the ideal wind direction and Föhneffekte worked together so that gusts were reached to 112 km / h, on hills in the area to 124 km / h ....

As a result, the temperature difference between Southwest and Northeast generally larger again and on the surface separated a front the country into a mild west and southwest and a cold north and east, a pattern that after a short interruption in the last months decade again stopped ...

What weather conditions that we are one of a typical winter flow, we thought it's how often?

Mediterranean cyclones: overrepresented in December, missing in January, raking profits in February.

West locations: Dry modification in January and early February dominant, storms missing almost.


storage locations in the northern Alps: With one exception in December and at the 1.14 missing.


anticyclones: overrepresented in January and early February.


is the picture of a winter, from which one can not make a simple picture, there is no common thread running through. Rather, one has to a marked break in the NH-Zirk. beginning of January and try to face the two unequal parts, the December on the one side, January and February on the other side, of a recent break in late February.

What does the March?

I have the feeling that the March winter is coming .... maybe more tomorrow;)

Lg

Manfred