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Yasi will land in Cairns ....

Hello,

Yasi it's gorgeous right now ...

Category 3 cyclone has now arrived on the Coral Sea and moves very quickly on to west-southwest. Low shear in the upper atmosphere and water temperatures around 29 degrees provide ensure that Yasi deepened and will soon reach KAT4. A word to the categories: The categories are differentiated by the Australian American (Simpson scale) significantly. Das liegt unter anderem auch daran, dass Mittelwinde im amerikanischen System über 1 Minute ermittelt werden, in Australien, wie auch sonst beinahe überall auf der Welt über die Dauer von 10 Minuten. The difference between the two averages may vary depending on gusty 10 to 30% is the Australian agent winds are therefore seemingly less. In order to compare it yet, Yasi becomes his heyday on shore a solid of 3 hurricane are equal. The models have to be used to calculate the trajectory compared to yesterday but a much more northerly storm tracks geeinuigt that will ensure the adult 4-Yasi as he will go on land near Cairns ...

.. and will therefore only weaken over land much further west. Cairns, a city with 125,000 inhabitants, therefore, controls the 5 years after Cyclone Larry, in 1996 as an almost 5-country where he reached to a critical period. A 4-he brings in the ring around its core winds along 250 km / h, even worse, if you look south of the core, because there are potential 250-he bring gusts from the east, ie from the sea and with plenty of water. Even further away from the center can Mesovortices and also bring tornadoes local gusts above 200 mph. The northern storm tracks has only the advantage that the recent flood areas in central and southern Queensland are coming relatively unscathed from it.

The rainfall ... the hinterland of Cairns is mountainous, the models are currently of up to 250 L / m² of surface precipitation, which can partly on the mountains are significantly higher, so the wind will not be the only issue in this holiday paradise .... the foothills with the wind speed and the onset of convective rain would be expected in the current state of the coast at midnight European time ... remains hope to the people of Cairns and surrounding area that they can bring themselves to safety in time.

Europe:

The cold in the lowlands belies the consistently unwinterliche weather situation across as a distinctive low-pressure center west of the British Isles is the heated into large sheets Atlantic air in higher layers of air to central Europe leads. In the short-term trend is in this situation, a further decline to exclude cold air here in the next 6 days.

Can the GWL tilt in the medium-term? This map of the northern hemisphere Saturday ...

Such a map provides choking on snow fans. Why? Well, you see two prominent cold poles, one on East Asia, connected via a Labrador and Greenland, with a cold bridge across the North West Passage. Such a control due to days long, more or less a slide for Atlantic cyclones with storm tracks from the Middle Atlantic to Nordskandinaven with a maximum short Trogstreifern in the Alps after passing through, weakening cold front. The sight would tap my gut feeling right height to a warm period at least until the middle of the month, a few days up and down ... Does not bother me that makes me the transition from Melbourne (40 °) to Vienna (a bissl above 0) on Thursday a little easier, and snowboarding is due to present work already too little time.

Lg

Manfred